How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions-and the Art of Knowing When Not To. Kit Yates

How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions-and the Art of Knowing When Not To

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ISBN: 9781541604933 | 448 pages | 12 Mb

How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions-and the Art of Knowing When Not To
Kit Yates
Page: 448
Format: pdf, ePub, fb2, mobi
ISBN: 9781541604933
Publisher: Basic Books

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A “vivid, wide-ranging, and delightful guide” (bestselling author Tim Harford) for understanding how and why predictions go wrong, with practical tips to give you a better chance of getting them right How can you be 100 percent sure you will win a bet? Why did so many Pompeians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting? Are you more likely to work in a kitchen if your last name is Baker? Ever since the dawn of human civilization, we have been trying to make predictions about what the world has in store for us. For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. In How to Expect the Unexpected, mathematician Kit Yates uncovers the surprising science that undergirds our predictions—and how we can use it to our advantage.    From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Synthesizing results from math, biology, psychology, sociology, medicine, economic theory, and physics, Yates provides tools for readers to understand uncertainty and to recognize the cognitive biases that make accurate predictions so hard to come by.   This book will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts, and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct. 

How to Expect the Unexpected
The Science of Making Predictions—and the Art of Knowing When Not To · Publisher Description · PUBLISHERS WEEKLY AUG 28, 2023 · More Books by Kit
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How to Expect the Unexpected
And that can have disastrous consequences. How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and
The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing
How to Expect the Unexpected : The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To.
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How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To · Kit Yates · About the author.
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How to Expect the Unexpected : The Science of Making
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The Science of Making Predictions—and the Art
For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. In How to Expect the Unexpected, mathematician Kit Yates uncovers the surprising science that undergirds our
How to Expect the Unexpected by Kit Yates
In How to Expect the Unexpected, mathematician Kit Yates uncovers the surprising science that undergirds our predictions—and how we can use it to our advantage.
How to Expect the Unexpected : The Science of Making
How to Expect the Unexpected : The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To.
How to Expect the Unexpected eBook by Kit Yates
Read "How to Expect the Unexpected The Science of Making Predictions—and the Art of Knowing When Not To" by Kit Yates available from Rakuten Kobo.
The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing
ISBN: 9781529408676 - Hardcover - Quercus 06 J - Condition: Very Good - How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of
The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing
How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To - ISBN 10: 1529408679 - ISBN 13:

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